Morris: I’ll also point out that very few of these guys, including Sabato and Cook, have ever made a living running campaigns and doing polling in them. They talk about it a lot, they read a lot of polls, they teach it, but they’ve never done it. And I have, and you’ll see that I’m right.
Kelly: How confident are you if you had to put, you know, a number on it?
Morris: Very. That we win? 9 out of 10? That it’s a landslide? 6 out of 10.
Kelly: You’re 90% confident in your projection, if you were laying odds.
Morris: That Romney wins, that Romney wins. Maybe 2 out of 3 that it’s a good-sized margin. (November 6, source)